04 August 2025 – Advice on planning for hot weather from the Met Office

Forecast issued by the Met Office on behalf of UKHSA on Monday, 04, August, 2025 at 07:51 Overview of hot weather over the next 5 days Storm Floris tracking east […]

Published on 5/08/2025 in Adult services | Children's services | News

Forecast issued by the Met Office on behalf of UKHSA on Monday, 04, August, 2025 at 07:51


Overview of hot weather over the next 5 days

Storm Floris tracking east across northern Scotland on Monday will bring widely windy conditions and a band of occasionally heavy rain across England. Thereafter, generally more settled conditions developing through the middle part of the week before an Atlantic weather front moves east, weakening and probably becoming slow-moving across southern England. Temperatures mostly around average, a little below at times toward the northwest. Currently temperatures are expected to remain below Low impact thresholds.

Overview of hot weather over the next 6 to 15 days

High pressure is more likely to be dominant than low pressure, leading to drier, warmer and generally settled conditions being more prevalent overall. Temperatures are expected to trend above average with an increased likelihood of very warm/hot spells, especially toward the south and east.

Overview of hot weather over the next 16 to 30 days

Lowering confidence due to increasing uncertainty at this range. However, high pressure is currently assessed as more likely to be dominant than low pressure for the second half of August into the start of September. Therefore, predominantly dry conditions are more probable for most parts with occasional shorter unsettled periods. Above average temperatures overall are most likely, with the potential for hot spells to develop, especially in the east and south.

RegionProbability of reaching low impact threshold in the next 5 days (%)Probability of reaching low impact threshold in the next 6–15 days (%)Probability of reaching low impact threshold in the next 16–30 days (%)General comments on weather
NE103030Temperatures mostly near normal but expected to trend above average from Day 5.
NW103030Temperatures mostly near normal but expected to trend above average from Day 5.
YH204040Temperatures mostly near normal but expected to trend above average from Day 5.
EM305040Temperatures mostly near normal but expected to trend above average from Day 5.
WM205040Temperatures mostly near normal but expected to trend above average from Day 5.
EoE355050Temperatures mostly near normal but expected to trend above average from Day 5.
Lon305050Temperatures mostly near normal but expected to trend above average from Day 5.
SE355050Temperatures mostly near normal but expected to trend above average from Day 5.
SW205040Temperatures mostly near normal but expected to trend above average from Day 5.

NE = North East | NW = North West | YH = Yorkshire and The Humber | EM = East Midlands | WM = West Midlands | EoE = East of England | Lon = London | SE = South East | SW = South West

For further information, please refer to the UKHSA Adverse Weather and Health Plan

All other enquiries can be directed to [email protected][email protected]

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